Feb 23 2009

New home construction drops to record low - Milan Rubenstein

Published by admin under Uncategorized

 

All parts of the country showed big declines in building activity

   
   

  Economy in Turmoil
U.S. may hike stake in embattled Citigroup
  Citigroup Inc. is in talks that could see the U.S. government take a bigger stake in the beleaguered bank, according to reports.


Video: Economy in turmoil
Bigger Citigroup stake?
Feb. 23: CNBC’s Melissa Lee reports on news that the U.S. government may raise its stake in embattled U.S. bank Citigroup.


BREAKING NEWS

updated 7:38 a.m. PT, Wed., Feb. 18, 2009

Construction of new homes and applications for future projects both plunged to record lows in January as all parts of the country showed big declines in building activity.

Analysts are hoping that a boost from government programs, including new efforts to stem foreclosures, will help stop the slide.

The Commerce Department reported Wednesday that construction of new homes and apartments dropped 16.8 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 466,000 units. That’s well below the 530,000 units economists expected, and was the slowest pace on records dating back a half-century.

  Applications for building permits, considered a good barometer of future activity, also dropped to a record low, falling 4.8 percent to a rate of 521,000 units, slightly below economists’ expectations.

The continued weakness underscored the problems facing the housing industry, which is in the grips of the worst slump in the post-World War II period. Troubles in housing have pushed the country into a recession and also triggered the worst financial crisis in seven decades as banks struggle to cope with billions of dollars of losses in mortgages and other types of loans.

The new housing figures were released on the same day President Barack Obama is scheduled to announce his administration’s plan to reduce home foreclosures.

More than 2 million American homeowners faced foreclosure proceedings last year, and that number could soar as high as 10 million in the coming years depending on the severity of the recession, according to a report last month by Credit Suisse.

The new report showed weak housing activity nationwide in January. Construction dropped 42.9 percent in the Northeast to a record low of 36,000 units at an annual rate. Building fell 29.3 percent in the Midwest to a record low of 53,000 units, while it dropped 12.8 percent in the South to a new record low of 246,000 units.

Construction activity fell 6.4 percent in the West to an annual rate of 131,000 units, the slowest pace since October 1966.

The National Association of Home Builders on Tuesday said its housing market index rose to nine this month, climbing one point off an all-time low as improved traffic by prospective buyers helped lift some builders’ confidence in future sales. Still, readings lower than 50 indicate negative sentiment about the market.

For all of last year, the number of housing units builders broke ground on totaled 906,200, also a record low. That was down from 1.36 million housing units started in 2007. The previous low was set in 1991.

Tighter lending standards, rising defaults and fear about the housing market’s future have sidelined buyers, an absence felt acutely by homebuilders such as D.R. Horton Inc., Pulte Homes Inc. and Centex Corp.

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Feb 23 2009

Small Apartments Address Housing Crunch posted by Milan Properties

Published by admin under Development, milan properties

 

Olympic Studios

SANTA MONICA, CA-Developer Neil Shekhter of NMS Properties thought small to create his recently opened Olympic Studios, a project of 165 two-story lofts where the units average 375 square feet and rent for $1,061 to $1,327. Shekhter has rented out 61 units of the 100-unit first phase since it opened in January, with the second phase slated to open in about six months.

Shekhter reasoned that the market for the lofts would be young single professionals, retirees with limited incomes and college students looking for rents that are affordable in the pricey Westside apartment market. Shekhter’s estimate has turned out to be on target, with about 70% of the units rented thus far occupied by young business people, a few retirees and the remainder college students.


Loft Interior

The Olympic Studios project, at 2001 Olympic Blvd., was designed by Santa Monica-based Killefer Flammang Architects and is a few blocks from Santa Monica College. Shekhter says that what makes his units economically viable is the project density, which is created by two-level living with kitchen, bath and dining/living areas on the ground floor and bedrooms on the upper levels. Killefer says that the designed was created to convey a sense of spaciousness despite the small size, thanks to 17-foot ceilings and clerestory windows.

The project comprises two four-level structures close to public transportation and shopping. Based on city guidelines, preference is given to those who live and/or work in Santa Monica, he added, with maximum allowable annual income requirements set by the city range of $42,450 to $60,600. Shekhter says he hopes to take his small, affordable housing concept to other parts of the county.Milan Properties Inc. 2009

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Nov 05 2008

Real Estate Employment- The Bottom Drops Out! Milan Properties Landlords Management Co.

Published by admin under Uncategorized

 

Commercial real estate executives are bracing for the next landfall of the global financial crisis, cutting middle-management jobs and postponing hiring in late 2008, according to the 2008 SelectLeaders/Cornell Job Barometer, an annual assessment of the U.S. job market in real estate.

"It’s not looking good out there" said real estate executive search consultant, Anthony Lo Pinto, CEO, Equinox Partners and founder, SelectLeaders. "While hiring trends are down somewhat, the worst is yet to come. We won’t hit bottom, until the jobs disappear"

"Middle management jobs have been hit hardest with only minor impact thus far on executive level jobs, but probably not for long, with the deepening financial crisis likely to take a toll on the more senior ranks," Lo Pinto said.

The commercial real estate job market showed surprising resilience in the face of negative news across all sectors of the economy in the first half of 2008, yet has experienced a dramatic 46% decline in job postings since June, according to the study.

"The pace of the decline into August and September points to almost non-existent transaction activity and a shutdown of new development, that is finally showing up in the lack of job postings," said David Funk, Director of the Cornell University Program in Real Estate.

"In general there is a six to nine month lag between a fall in real estate market activity and resulting job layoffs and hiring freezes," said Anthony LoPinto, "On the other hand, with billions of dollars of commercial real estate loans maturing over the next 12 -36 months, there will be a growing demand for seasoned and proven talent that knows how to play the restructure game. It will be a mixed bag."

The Job Barometer forecasts pockets of opportunity in 2009.

  • The apartment market was the one, and only sector that did not decline. In fact, nearly 40% of the total real estate jobs posted were in the multi family sector. In addition, there is an undeniable correlation between the states with the highest numbers of foreclosure filings, and states with the highest numbers of Multi-Family job postings, suggesting the end of the American dream of single family home ownership for many.
  • The first and second city dominance of New York and Chicago metro areas are losing their hold to the economic strength of Texas oil and Florida’s senior citizens. Job losses in real estate finance and the homebuilding industry were disproportionately felt in New York and California respectively.
  • The South is the place to be for the most hiring activity. For opportunity, look for jobs in accounting/controls, property management, and leasing.
  • In 2008, 43% of all applicants sought commercial real estate jobs in New York with 74 resumes submitted for every posting, yet only 11% of all jobs are in New York - down precipitously from 18% the year before.. For the highest probability of success, applying for positions in the Midwest offers a much better chance of getting the job.
  • Real estate’s talent gap is deepening as graduate students are already looking elsewhere as banking jobs dry up, historically the most attractive alternative for the best and the brightest looking to begin their careers. This will prove to be the singular most significant effect of the current crisis as it will impact our industry 10 and 20 years from now.

Experienced executives will also be in demand, according to Cornell’s Funk.

"The increasing need to squeeze every ounce of performance from commercial portfolios highlights the growing need for asset, portfolio, and property managers with a deep range of real estate experience coupled with sophisticated financial skills," Funk said.

Milan Properties Property Management Co. Los Angeles, CA 5369 W. Pico Blvd 2nd Floor 323-850-4900

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Nov 05 2008

CMBS Workouts Proceed, Multifamily Delinquencies Stabilize, Amy Rubenstein CEO of Milan Properties Inc. reports

Published by admin under Capital Markets

 

Amy Rubenstein CEO Milan Properties Inc.

U.S. CMBS loan performance continues to be stable as workouts corresponding to multifamily loans have offset preliminary weakening in the retail sector, according to Fitch Ratings in its latest U.S. CMBS loan delinquency index

"The proportion of delinquent multifamily loans as a percentage of all delinquencies within the index has fallen steadily, to 46% in September 2008 from a peak of 64% in April," said Susan Merrick, managing director and U.S. CMBS group head. "This is mostly due to the ongoing resolution of $441 million of defaulted Texas multifamily loans corresponding to one borrower."

The borrower concentration from the MBS Cos. sponsor consisted of 37 assets totaling $441 million, which serve(d) as collateral for 19 distinct transactions within the Fitch portfolio. Because six special servicers service the assets separately, workout strategies have varied. Individual loan resolutions have included asset sales, borrower recapitalizations, discounted payoffs, note sales, and loan modifications to bring payments current.

Since May 2008, 17 of the loans, totaling approximately $195 million (44% of the MBS concentration), have been resolved. The loss severities on those loans ranged from 0% to 64%, with a weighted average of 20%.

Examples of some of the MBS workouts are as follows.

  • TJ Shan of Harleysville, PA, pushed past nine other offers to claim the 220-unit Crescent Oaks Apartment Homes at 3001 W. Normandale St. in Fort Worth, TX, for close to the $4.35-million ask.
  • Triumph Land & Capital Management LLC and Hudson Realty Capital pulled 576 class B units from receivership by acquiring $18 million of debt. The joint venture will invest an additional $4 million to $6 million into upgrading two complexes: the 228-unit Huntwick Apartments at 5100 FM 1960 Road West in Houston and the similarly sized Timbers of Pine Hollow at 2020 Plantation Dr. in Conroe, TX.
  • Steve Oden (Steelwood LLC) purchased North Castle in Austin, TX, and Ray Sperring of Trivest bought Bristol Heights also in Austin.

In overall CMBS delinquencies, an additional 20 retail loans totaling $71.6 million were added to the loan delinquency index in September 2008. Retail delinquencies comprise 17.7% of all delinquent loans, and continue to consist primarily of small loans collateralized by strip centers and older community and power centers competing with newer comparable properties.

Despite the economic environment for businesses, office delinquencies have remained relatively low, with only 0.27% of all office loans delinquent. Office properties typically benefit from medium- to long-term leases that provide a degree of insulation from market downturns.

Conversely, hotel properties have greater exposure to economic conditions due to daily resetting of rates and, in some cases, limited advance bookings. Fitch expects hotels will show a faster decline as consumers cut back on leisure travel while business travel also slows. To date, hotel revenue per available room (RevPAR) has been supported by foreign tourism, but this may decline if foreign currencies lose their relative strength. As of September, hotel loan delinquencies remained low at 0.23% of all outstanding hotel loans.

Milan Properties Amy M. Rubenstein CEO

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Nov 05 2008

Deepening Financial Turmoil Further Delaying Housing Recovery published by Milan Rubenstein of Milan Management LLC

Published by admin under America's Economy

The optimism in the housing markets spurred by the federal government’s action to place Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac into conservatorship this summer has been overtaken by the continued stress and panic in the financial markets, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association of America’s (MBAA) latest outlook.

The outlook preceded by a few days release of the latest housing data that showed slight increases in existing and new home sales, but continued price declines.

The relatively stronger performance of existing home sales over new home sales largely reflects the rising share of foreclosed homes that were sold through the multiple listing services. Many homebuyers have found that foreclosed homes can be substitutes for new homes, especially those that were recently built and are being sold at deep discounts. The National Association of Realtors estimated that foreclosures account for about one-third of the existing home market, indicating that activity would have been much weaker had it not been for distressed sales.

The months’ supply measures for new and existing homes stayed above 10 months, which is worrisome given that it has now been over two years of the housing downturn, the MBAA noted. With tighter lending standards and reduced credit availability, potential buyers are having trouble selling existing homes and securing financing.

All measures of home prices released in the past months show accelerating price declines. The median price for total existing homes posted the largest decline on record at 9.5%, compared with a sizable 6.2% drop for new homes.

Homebuilding activity continued to fall in September as builders try to address the huge overhang of unsold inventory in many parts of the country and soft housing demand.

Leading indicators of home building activity suggested further declines in the near term. Single-family permits-a leading indicator for single-family housing starts-dropped in September for the 17th time in the past 18 months.

Given deteriorating performance of leading indicators of the housing market, the MBAA said it expects continued declines in housing activity. It also expects housing activity to remain sluggish in 2009, as the economic downturn continues through the first half of next year. As economic growth accelerates to trend pace in 2010 and credit conditions return to more normal levels, it expects significant improvement in both housing starts and home sales.

MBAA said it expects total existing home sales for 2008 could decline about 13% from 2007 to 4.94 million units. However, it expects sales to pick up about three% in 2009 and about 6% in 2010.

It expects new sales to decline another 12% in 2009 before rising about 25% in 2010.

Median home prices for new and existing homes are expected to continue their decline this year, falling about 6-7%. Prices should decline more modestly in 2009 before rising slightly in 2010.

With increased uncertainty on financial markets and the economy and with responses from policymakers to tackle the credit crisis, there is little clarity on how effective these measures will be to shore up the capital position of financial institutions and restore liquidity and confidence to the financial system, the MBAA said.

The MBAA noted that massive liquidity injections by central banks around the world over the past several weeks are slowly working to push down the interest rates on interbank lending. The Libor rates have slowly declined, which should help reduce financial stress as these rates are used to calculate interest rates on some mortgages and business loans. Other short-term interest rates such as the rates on commercial papers have declined as well.

Milan Rubenstein Milan Management LLC

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Nov 05 2008

Milan Properties salutes Governer Schwarzenegger in Los Angeles

Published by admin under Development, Uncategorized

Schwarzenegger Tours Solar Rooftops in Los Angeles

Milan P. Rubenstein Milan Properties Blog

California Governor Visits Staples Center, Contessa Food Plant

Gov. Schwarzenegger (right) tours Contessa's new food manufacturing plant with Contessa CEO John Blazevich.
Gov. Schwarzenegger (right) tours Contessa’s new food manufacturing plant with Contessa CEO John Blazevich.

California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger made appearances on not one, but two rooftops Tuesday to tout major solar power systems that have been installed at the Staples Center and a new food manufacturing facility in Los Angeles.

At Staples Center, the downtown home of the Los Angeles Lakers and four other pro teams, Gov. Schwarzenegger snapped into place the last of more than 1,700 solar panels on the roof of the arena.

The 345-kilowatt solar system will eliminate more than 10,000 tons of greenhouse gas emissions over the next 25 years and provide "all kinds of extra energy for the Lakers," Schwarzenegger said in prepared remarks.

"And I know that if we would have had these solar panels here a year ago, I think that the outcome between the Lakers and the Celtics would have been quite different," he quipped.

California-based Solar Power Inc. designed and built the solar array. The company is installing a slightly smaller system on the roof of the adjacent Nokia Theater. Sports and entertainment company AEG owns and operates both facilities.

The food plant, which is owned and operated by frozen foods manufacturer Contessa, opened early this year as the first frozen foods manufacturing facility in the world to achieve LEED certification.

It includes a heat-recovery system that captures waste heat from refrigeration systems — which run constantly — and redirects it to preheat water for the plant’s boilers, as well as a solar array the size of two football fields on its roof.

Though the solar installation and other green features accounted for $6 million of the facility’s $40 million cost, the plant is "on track" to reduce its energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions by a remarkable 65 percent, the Governor’s office said.

"I feel the smart businessman would be justified doing this because it’s going to help them in the long run, and it’s also going to help the planet," John Blazevich, CEO of Contessa, told CBS Evening News in an interview this summer.

The initiatives support the Governor’s initiatives to cut greenhouse gas emissions in California by 25 percent by 2020, and increase renewable energy sources to 20 percent by 2010.

"You know, everyone today, when you turn on the television, talks about there’s one state being red and the other states are blue," Gov. Schwarzenegger said at Staples Center. "We here in California are more interested in building a green state and this is what this is all about here today."

Milan Properties

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Sep 19 2008

Lenders to FHA: Thanks but no thanks for your help- By Les Christie, CNNMoney

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — As part of the massive housing rescue bill passed by Congress in July, troubled borrowers will be able to refinance their home loans with the backing of the Federal Housing Authority (FHA) starting on October 1.

But at a congressional hearing today in Washington, lenders didn’t seem terribly enthusiastic about the program, dubbed Hope for Homeowners.

The program calls for lenders to voluntarily refinance delinquent mortgages by reducing loan balances to 90% of a home’s current market value. The new loans will be backed by the FHA, which will be receive 5% of the new loan balance as a payment from the lender.

"I think lenders will be enthusiastic about the program but they have other things they’d like to do before they do a principal write down," said Brian Montgomery, Assistant Secretary for Housing at the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

One lender’s representative, Marguerite Sheehan, Senior Vice President for JPMorganChase (JPM, Fortune 500) Home Lending, testified about the drawbacks of Hope for Homeowners.

"Under the Program, [investors in the loans] will take a loss when the principal balance is written down," she testified, adding that they won’t have a chance to make up that loss if home prices recover. Sheehan added that Chase can make borrowers’ monthly payments affordable simply by reducing their interest rates, rather than loan principle.

She added that JPMorganChase will use the program when it is deemed to be the best option for investors and borrowers, but that investors would prefer to use alternative loan workouts that give banks and investors the chance to share in any future home price appreciation. That’s similar to the program recently announced by the FDIC for IndyMac Bank.

Banks stress their own efforts

Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) managing director Michael Gross said that the new FHA program was just one of many loan workout options that the bank is employing.

And he stressed that the bank’s own efforts to save troubled loans, especially those B of A inherited when it bought Countrywide, have been successful. He said that the bank increased its loan modifications by 450% this past August compared with August of 2007.

When asked whether the program would be considered a last resort by lenders, all the members of the panel, including Gross, agreed that it would be.

And Mary Coffin, speaking for Wells Fargo (WFC, Fortune 500), testified that relatively few of her bank’s borrowers owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth, meaning they would be unlikely to benefit from the FHA’s refinancing and write down program.

"We estimate as many as 30,000 to 40,000 customers who … may qualify for Hope for Homeowners," she said, and committed to using the program in those cases.

Even Sheila Bair, who heads the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, praised the FHA program but said that few borrowers with IndyMac, the bank that the FDIC took over in July, would use it.

She said that her responsibility to maximize profits for the investors would probably limit the number of IndyMac borrowers who would take advantage of Hope for Homeowners

On its own, her agency has been very aggressive in heading off foreclosures at the troubled bank. About 60,000 of IndyMac’s more than 740,000 mortgages are more than 60 days past due, according to Bair. The FDIC has already offered 7,400 of them workouts. Some 1,200 workouts have been completed, giving borrowers an average monthly savings of $430.

Bair also said that she thinks the FDIC’s programs could be used as a model for other lenders to use in their workout efforts.

milan and amy arent sweetin’ it.  

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Sep 17 2008

Some homeowners seem in denial on home values- Milan Properties says de-nile ain’t just a river in Egypt

Published by admin under Uncategorized

Are homeowners in denial?

Are they stubbornly — maybe irrationally — clinging to the belief that other people’s homes may be losing value, but theirs isn’t? How else, one wonders, to explain sellers who cling fast to pre-housing slump notions in this wacko market?
 
Or are they getting it — to the point where they understand we’re in a brave new world of pricing?

I guess that depends on who’s asking the question.

Zillow.com is in the "They’re in denial" camp: It recently surveyed homeowners about how much their properties are worth. The home-valuation website said that nearly two-thirds believe that their homes’ value has increased or at least stayed the same over the last year.
 

But Zillow says its data suggest otherwise — that three-fourths of American homes lost value in the last 12 months.

Then, along comes another survey, this one by Reuters and the University of Michigan, which seemed to find a more sober mind-set.

Among homeowners the university surveyed in August, just less than half said their homes had declined in value during the last year — twice the level recorded in August of last year and more than the previous record of 41% in July, Reuters reported.

The pollsters found that the negative outlook was much more pronounced in Western states, where prices have been swirling downward with particular drama.

Some dry land for Phelps

One of the first things swimmer Michael Phelps did after making his little splash at the Olympics was to buy a condo. It’s a rather nice pad for a 23-year-old — the lanky young man will have more than 4,000 square feet in which to spread out in his new loft in his hometown of Baltimore.

Price tag: $1.69 million, according to the New York Daily News. The unit, in a building on the city’s waterfront, comes with a rooftop terrace, a screening room, a whirlpool tub and a gym. And, of course, there’s a swimming pool.

But it won’t be the only place he’ll be able to do laps — Phelps also has bought a swimming club and ice rink in Baltimore that he hopes to turn into an Olympic training facility.

We hope that the lender is asking for more then 0% down on that condo. It doesn’t surprise us if he pulls a Britney and burns threw his cash. Hey Micheal! If you find yourself forclosed we can get you a good deal on an apartment in south bay!

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Sep 16 2008

Mortgage rates are plunging — for those who qualify — good for home buyers

Published by admin under Uncategorized

The government takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac has sent mortgage rates tumbling, prompting homeowners and would-be buyers to flood loan offices with phone calls.

 

But there’s a catch: Although the lower interest rates make it easier to get a mortgage, many lenders this week also raised the minimum down payment they’ll allow on a loan — making it impossible for some people to qualify for a mortgage.

 
FOR THE RECORD:
Mortgage rates: An article in Section A on Thursday incorrectly reported that guidelines being implemented by Fannie Mae next year require home buyers to put down at least 15% of the purchase price. For homes that will be occupied by the buyer, the guidelines leave the minimum down payment unchanged at 5%. The article also said the maximum loan amount on a "cash-out" refinancing of a mortgage on a rental home fell to 75% of the property’s value. In fact, the guidelines set the maximum loan amount for cash-out refinancings at 85% of the property value, down from 90%. Finally, the article described First Mortgage Corp. in Diamond Bar as a loan broker. It is a mortgage bank. —


And the decline in rates doesn’t apply to you if you’re borrowing more than $730,000.

But for the traditional 30-year fixed-rate mortgages that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac acquire from lenders, interest rates have fallen to about 6% this week after hovering above 6.5% most of the summer, said data tracker HSH Associates.

As a result, many people with pending loan applications who were waiting to lock in their rates have decided to take the plunge this week.

"People are locking in rates now at a pace we haven’t seen in years," said Scott Lehrer, senior vice president at loan broker First Mortgage Corp. of Diamond Bar.

Jerry Wilk, an Irvine financial planner, locked in a 6.125% rate Tuesday on a mortgage to refinance his current one, on which he has been paying 6.75%.

He said the move would reduce his monthly payment by $200.

"I just don’t see another big drop in interest rates coming," Wilk said. And with the market value of homes in Southern California still dropping, he said, "it could be much tougher to get a mortgage a year from now."

The federal government’s seizure of Fannie and Freddie over the weekend reassured financial markets about the health of the mortgage giants.

That made investors worldwide willing to swallow lower interest rates on bonds issued by Fannie and Freddie. And because the companies — in the wake of the subprime mortgage meltdown — are now buying or otherwise financing the vast majority of new mortgages in the U.S., lower rates on their bonds translate into lower home-loan rates generally.

In certain parts of the high desert, where home prices have fallen as much as 45%, lower rates are helping to drive buyer interest in foreclosed properties, said Clem Ziroli, First Mortgage’s chairman. September is usually a so-so month for home sales, he said, "but it may be our best month this year in fundings," including refinancings as well as purchase loans.

On the downside, Lehrer said, lenders spooked by free-falling home prices and surging foreclosures have imposed tougher lending standards.

In the latest example, he said, most banks this week immediately adopted new guidelines that Fannie Mae said it would implement next year.

Among them: Home purchasers must put down at least 15% of the purchase price, up from 10%. And if the owner of a rental home wants to refinance it and cash out some equity, the mortgage can now be for no more than 75% of the home’s value, compared with 90% during the housing boom.

"No lender wants to make a 90% loan today, because we haven’t hit the bottom yet on prices. If they keep going down it could be a 100% loan next month," said Jeff Lazerson, president of Mortgage Grader, a Web-based loan shopping service.

Lazerson is seeing increased applications for both purchase loans and refinancings. Many of the homeowners looking to refinance are currently paying an initial fixed rate that will start adjusting in the next few years.

The lower rates apply only to loans that Fannie and Freddie are allowed to buy. In a move to ease the availability of mortgages, Congress this year raised the maximum amount of such loans to $729,750 from $417,000 in high-priced markets such as most of Southern California.

On Wednesday, people with a solid credit history borrowing no more than $729,750 could get a 30-year fixed-rate loan at a 5.75% rate if they paid 1% of the loan amount as an upfront fee, Lazerson said.

But those borrowing more than $729,750 were being quoted a rate of 8.125%, plus 3.5% of the loan value as an upfront fee.

This means that Milan Properties will not be seeing that much of a change in ther’ye purchasing power. That means no change in the success of Milan  Properties. It;s still up-and-up.

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Sep 15 2008

Trading on the Future Milan Properties are placing their bets.

Published by admin under Uncategorized

 

‘Equity release’ is the newest way to turn your home into a piggy bank. But the risks can be sizable.
By ANNE TERGESEN
September 13, 2008; Page R6
 
When Gladys Tully needed cash for some home projects, the 72-year-old decided to tap into the value of her $800,000 home near San Diego.
But rather than use a home-equity loan or reverse mortgage, Ms. Tully opted for a new product, frequently called a shared-appreciation arrangement or equity release, which is gaining popularity among homeowners in or near retirement.
THE JOURNAL REPORT
 
Although different companies structure the transactions in different ways, the premise of the arrangement is the same: A homeowner agrees to give up part of a home’s future appreciation in exchange for cash — typically 10% to 15% of the property’s current value.
When Ms. Tully signed on early this year with EquityKey LLC, a real-estate investment company in San Diego that offers shared-appreciation arrangements, the former travel-agency owner received $106,000, or about 13% of her home’s value. In exchange, EquityKey will pocket half of any future increase in the home’s value — taking its share when Ms. Tully sells the house or terminates the agreement.
"I could have sold some of my investments to pay for these extras, but that’s what I live on," says Ms. Tully, who enjoys painting and travels frequently.
What to Consider
Shared-appreciation agreements can make financial sense for some older adults. For one, they offer some protection against the current turmoil in real-estate markets. If a property’s value has declined by the time the owner decides to sell it or terminate the contract, the homeowner gets to keep some or all — depending on the product — of the cash he or she is given upfront. What’s more, homeowners aren’t saddled with monthly payments, as in the case of a home-equity loan. And closing costs are typically less than that of a reverse mortgage.
But these deals also carry considerable risks, according to some real-estate experts. In the first few years of a contract, lenders are generally protected from bearing their share of the losses. And if a home appreciates over the life of an agreement, this approach could prove more costly than a conventional loan.
"From the perspective of the companies, this may be a very good time to do these deals," says Susan Wachter, a professor of real estate at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business in Philadelphia. "When prices rebound, they will capture that in their share of the appreciation."
For clients, she adds, "it’s another one of those products that reduces the use of the home as a vehicle to save. At this moment in time, people may flock to this, but it would be really myopic to simply look at the experiences of the past year or two as an indication of the evolution of home prices."
Worried about the housing downturn, some homeowners are using the arrangement to cash in a portion of their home’s current value. Others are investing the money they receive in stocks or other investments they expect to outperform residential real estate. Some others are trading away future profits to pay down debt and fund indulgences, such as renovations and vacations.
The number of companies offering these profit-sharing arrangements has risen to three from one during the past 18 months — EquityKey; Rex & Co., a real-estate company based in San Francisco; and Grander Financial Inc., a financial-services company in Irvine, Calif. A fourth, NestWorth Inc. of San Francisco, plans to enter the market by year end.
 
The firms decline to say how many clients they have enlisted. But EquityKey says in the first six months of 2008, applications jumped 112% from the year-earlier period. At Rex, the dollar value of deals completed in the first half of the year rose 20% from all of 2007. The products are sold mainly to people in or near retirement. Applicants to NestWorth and EquityKey must be at least 60 and 65, respectively. At Rex, which has no age restrictions, the average client is 56.
"This is an area…that’s just being discovered in financial-services circles," says Peter Bell, president of the National Reverse Mortgage Lenders Association, a trade group based in Washington, D.C. "I think we’re going to see a lot of innovation in this area in the next couple of years."
Cheaper Than Loans?
In promotional material, these agreements present themselves as an alternative to debt. But that doesn’t necessarily mean they will prove any cheaper than a conventional loan.
Take George Lifshutz’s Rex agreement. A year ago, the retired New York City police officer pocketed $38,000 from Rex in return for signing away half of the future gains on his home in Sunrise, Fla. Since then, the plummeting housing market has reduced the home’s estimated $295,000 value.
The terms of his agreement call for Mr. Lifshutz to repay the $38,000 — plus Rex’s share of the profits or minus its share of the losses. With Mr. Lifshutz’s home now worth less, he can deduct Rex’s piece of the loss from the $38,000 he borrowed. That isn’t a bad deal, considering that with a conventional loan, he would have to repay the $38,000 plus interest.
Still, unless Mr. Lifshutz sells his home, Rex can delay his repayment until the contract’s fifth anniversary. By then, there’s a good chance that home values in many parts of the country will have recovered.
Many economists expect home prices to turn around by late 2009 or early 2010, unless the economy enters a deep slump. In the coastal regions in which EquityKey, Rex and their rivals concentrate, the turnarounds could prove especially dramatic.
"In these supply-constrained states, annual price increases of 5% to 10% aren’t unusual," says Prof. Wachter. For those who need the appreciation from a home to pay for assisted living or long-term care, she adds, the notion of trading it away makes little sense.
What if property values rise over the course of an agreement?
Consider a homeowner with a $500,000 home. Under an agreement with Rex, he or she would receive $62,500 in return for signing away half the home’s future gains. Assuming the home appreciates by a relatively modest 3% a year, the home would be worth $671,958 in a decade. At that point, the homeowner would, at least on paper, owe Rex $148,479. That’s $62,500 for the cash advance, plus Rex’s half of the home’s gains.
With a government-insured reverse mortgage — a loan in which equity is converted into cash and a bank makes payments to the homeowner — the same person would owe just $126,676, according to Jerry Wagner, president of Ibis Capital, a San Francisco-based developer of software for reverse mortgage lenders and counselors.
Potentially ‘Very Expensive’
The homeowner would also come out ahead with a home-equity loan. With an 8.06% interest rate, the going rate these days, someone borrowing $62,500 would repay $91,234 in principal and interest over 10 years, says Keith Gumbinger, vice president of HSH Associates, a publisher of mortgage information. Shared-appreciation agreements, he adds, are "potentially a very expensive source of money."
There are other potential downsides. Because the tax code doesn’t specifically address these arrangements, there’s a risk the Internal Revenue Service could require homeowners to pay tax on the upfront payments. The companies, citing opinions from law firms they employ, maintain that no tax is due until the home is sold or the agreement is terminated. And at that point, the company and the homeowner each would pay the capital-gains tax rate on their respective shares of the profits.
Then, there’s the matter of control. As lien holders, EquityKey and its peers have the right to look over a homeowner’s shoulder — and even call some of the shots. Rex, for one, caps the amount of mortgage debt its clients can carry — the percentage varies by transaction. If an owner fails to pay the property taxes or perform any necessary repairs, the companies can pay the bills for him or her — and deduct the costs from the owner’s share of the pie. In extreme situations, such as a mortgage default, they may even sell a home.
Additional Fees
Closing costs on these transactions are relatively modest. Fees range from $300 at EquityKey to as much as 3% of the upfront payment at Rex. But those who sell or otherwise seek to close out these transactions before five years have elapsed may be slapped with additional fees — amounting to as much as 5% of a home’s value at the time the agreement was made. And no matter when a home is sold, the homeowner will be on the hook for all the real-estate commissions and fees, which can add up to as much as 6% of the home’s sale price.
With EquityKey, homeowners face another issue. The company doesn’t generally require clients to return the upfront payment. But because it won’t make much money if a client dies before his or her property has appreciated much, EquityKey buys life insurance policies on its clients.
As a result, the company turns away those who aren’t healthy enough to secure coverage at reasonable rates — as it turns out, more than half of its applicant pool. And those who sign on only to decide later to buy a life-insurance policy for the benefit of their heirs may discover that they have already used up much of the coverage an insurance company will sell them.
"If you die tomorrow, I will get burned on your real estate," says Jeffrey Nash, co-founder of EquityKey, "but I will make money on your insurance policy."
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